Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 35.197979 41.730835 48.927874 57.416157 67.123350 77.847064 90.558091
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 26.313680 35.129867 45.812275 59.580337 76.713121 97.180280 123.313444
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.578601 30.193844 42.744381 60.048860 82.970580 111.943027 150.928026
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.988199 25.530238 38.830979 58.269097 85.412358 121.362600 171.847715
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.231743 22.770329 36.850545 58.478311 90.047717 133.506781 196.697756
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.304591 20.831834 35.642635 59.420940 95.500184 146.849124 223.759151
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.708909 17.313539 31.470245 55.306128 92.988694 148.520766 234.287882
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.708534 16.290597 31.061822 56.877131 99.004457 162.760026 263.538758
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.526037 14.710711 29.477334 56.294151 101.490133 171.744880 285.396648
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.167560 14.621956 30.441434 60.025137 111.114521 192.137891 325.484424
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.940363 12.563175 27.559587 56.742486 108.815473 193.629305 336.420115
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.472303 12.004656 27.400183 58.270292 114.711046 208.463331 368.948499
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.075666 11.620356 27.705652 61.030122 123.581998 229.697454 414.591004
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.667080 11.140595 27.788936 63.457069 132.222125 251.381651 462.717317
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.159258 10.291798 26.956284 63.966795 137.371451 267.442361 502.441150
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.569384 9.064866 25.077850 62.090248 137.817258 275.299232 528.700660
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.208210 8.362540 24.264916 62.311214 142.247794 290.382845 568.043180
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.942084 7.862200 23.842865 63.306000 148.243970 308.588759 613.692540
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.472807 6.565856 21.195842 58.962616 143.012852 305.768955 621.887276
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.325802 6.296016 21.157652 60.621187 150.315515 326.780946 673.922348
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.117296 5.732809 20.219344 60.005756 152.713408 338.541727 709.586787
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.079942 5.810142 21.098560 63.943552 165.265563 370.610764 784.231221
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.837024 4.966174 19.132773 60.479051 161.182352 369.775122 797.249859